Playoff Path

Hurricanes Football
1

Seeing Georgia Tech lose and fall to #16, and Miami jump them to #15, it makes me wonder.

We still have more losses than them. They sit above us in ACC rankings but when it comes to national, we have better wins. Same is true for various other ACC teams.

Which begs the question, how possible is it we don’t get to the ACC Championship but still slide into the playoffs?

Sure, the conference winner gets an automatic bid. But if we win out, chances are we will be the ACC team with the highest national rank. Whoever LOSES the ACCCG won’t have a chance in hell at making the playoffs. But we just might.

So what needs to happen for us to get there?

Seeing top ten teams lose is great, obviously. Some of them aren’t so obvious. I love seeing Bama lose, but it might help us more if they beat Oklahoma. If Okie wins, both teams stay ranked better than us. If Okie falls, they drop way past us. Really, any of these teams in the #8-14 range losing is what we’re hoping for. Teams with 2 losses like Utah.

Then instead of the hurdle of a conference championship game, all Miami has to pencil in is Pitt at the end of the season. For us that’s as good as the ACC game would be - win and we get in the playoffs, lose and we’re out.

How likely do people think we get in? What rank should we hit to do it, about #8 or #10? How likely is it enough teams lose to clear the way?

2

The one fucking time I want Alabama to win!

:face_with_symbols_on_mouth:

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3

IF Miami wins out, they have an outside shot at the 12 team playoff.

I’ll be surprised if they win out and more surprised if the committee gives them a playoff slot.

You can’t lose to two mid teams and they cry that the committee didn’t put you in the final 12.

4

I think it’s definitely doable. Need Georgia to beat Texas. BYU losing another takes them out. Then you need Oklahoma to lose one. I wouldn’t say they control their own destiny but I feel like it’s a 50/50 chance right now.

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5

I’ve been telling friends this is this path I actually want for about 2 weeks now because I don’t think we will be able to win at Pitt and then at the ACC ship for a 3rd string game.

Let two other bum teams battle for it and we slide in. But yeah would have helped if we could have gotten Oklahoma to fall.

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6

This is the way.

The problem is, pretty much nothing went right today for us to hit this scenario. Out of like 5 possible teams that could have lost, nobody did. Texas/Georgia was the only case where we will jump, but it almost didn’t matter which way that game went.

Looking at the schedule, we’re not gonna get a lot of help next week. Not looking good at this point.

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7

I still think BYU can lose another game and we can jump them. Oklahoma can lose another. There’s plenty of time for more chaos. We just have to win the last two and let the chaos unfold.

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8

don’t do this to yourselves. this is a cristobal coached miami team going on the road back to back in cold weather games. we are not winning out. nothing in our recent past suggests we are winning these two games

9

BYU will most likely have to play Texas Tech in the Big 12 Championship Game. I am not saying BYU can’t beat Tech but it is a bad match up. BYU is one dimensional.

Who’s in?

1. Ohio State 10-0 (vs. Rutgers, at Michigan)

2. Indiana 11-0 (at Purdue)

3. Texas A&M 10-0 (vs. Samford, at Texas)

4. UGA- 9-1 (vs. Charlotte, vs. Georgia Tech)

5. Texas Tech -10-1 (at West Virginia)

6. Ole Miss -10-1 (at Mississippi State)

7. Oregon 9-1 (vs. USC, at Washington)

8. Notre Dame 8-2 (vs. Syracuse, vs. Stanford)

9. Oklahoma 8-2 (Missouri, LSU)

10. Alabama 8-2 (Eastern Illinois, at Auburn)

11- ACC Championship Winner (GT vs. UVA winner)

12-G5 Navy vs. Tulane (North Texas)

ACC

UVA -(vs. Virginia Tech)

Georgia Tech - vs. Pitt, at Georgia)

Pitt - (7-3) at Georgia Tech, vs. Miami

SMU - (7-3) Louisville, at Cal

Miami just needs Tech to lose to Pitt and SMU to lose one of their last two games. If Va. Tech finds a way to beat UVA – Miami is in.

Big 12

BYU

Utah

BYU plays Texas Tech in the title game – I expect a loss. Texas Tech only team in from the Big 12 unless major chaos happens.

Big 10

USC - (8-2) at Oregon, vs. UCLA

Oregon - (9-1) vs. USC, at Washington

Michigan - (8-2) @Maryland, @Ohio State

USC must win out to get in. Same with Michigan. Oregon could potentially lose to Washington but still get in at 10-2 with win over USC and beat Ohio State in Big 10 Title game.

SEC

Bama (8-2) Eastern Illinois, at Auburn

Oklahoma - (8-2) vs. Missouri, vs. LSU

Vandy (8-2) vs. Kentucky, @Tennessee

Texas (7-3) vs. Arkansas, vs. Texas A&M

I still don’t know why Bama or Texas in conversation. Texas A&M does college football a favor and beats Texas. Vandy loses to Tennessee and Oklahoma chokes. OU, Bama, Texas and Vandy all lose another game – Oh the crying from the SEC.

2 Likes
10

Let’s just focus on winning our remaining games. We shouldn’t even be in this position to begin with, but…

11

We’re not going to the playoff without an ACC title. The terrorists er uh the committee has moved Notre Lame ahead of stronger resume’ Alabama so they’ve made it clear who they want in this thing. Need a Pitt win at GT and VT win vs UVA, otherwise just try to finish with 11 wins with a bowl win….something we’ve had one of since 2006. Can’t even believe I’m writing that.

12

Playoff committee math :
Notre Dame loss vs Miami > Miami win vs.Notre Dame

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13

It’s a tv show. The analytics don’t matter. It’s about getting the most interesting teams and ND is always going to be in that conversation.

We can complain about it or we can just not lose to two middle of the road ACC teams.

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14

What is the saying “don’t put the game in the hands of the ref”

Same sounds like don’t put playoff eligibility in hands of a committee. Win your games and there should be no doubts.

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15

Yeah, no one to blame but ourselves. Sure, the SMU game had some bad calls but we still should have won and Beck throws the INT at the goal. Refs did not cost us that game, we did.

16

No one here’s lying.

17

We need to root for Mississippi State, Kansas and Texas A&M today.

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18

Thank you. I can’t find the time to pick through the various permutations.

19

American Conference - North Texas vs. (Navy -10-2 or Tulane -9-2 (vs. Charlotte today)

Believe if Tulane wins today they play North Texas.

Big 12

Texas Tech (10-1) at West Virginia
BYU (10-1) vs. UCF

Utah is done unless both teams lose which is most likely not going to happen. BYU vs. Texas Tech in the Big 12 title game. I think that BYU will lose again to Tech as they don’t match up well against them.

Big 10

Indiana (12-0) Waiting on Big Ten Championship Game

Ohio State (11-0) vs. Michigan (Miami wants Michigan to lose)

Oregon (10-1) vs. Washington

Michigan (9-2) vs. Ohio State

Notre Dame (9-2) vs. Stanford

SEC

UGA (11-1) SEC Title Game

Ole Miss (11-1) (Want Alabama to win and they are in) Ole Miss plays in SEC title game and loses / Kiffin leaves and a two loss Ole Miss team may be out.

Texas A&M (11-1) (IN PLAYOFFS)

Alabama (9-2) vs. Auburn (If Bama wins their game vs. Auburn they are in SEC title game). If they lose they are not making it in playoffs with 3 losses. They win and play UGA again. Alabama can’t lose again because they have a bad loss vs. FSU.

Texas (9-3) Season done (Texas needs a rigged election)

OU (9-2) VS. LSU

Vandy (9-2) vs. Tennessee

Sun Belt

James Madison (10-1) vs. Charlotte

20

Anyone think since Miami fans don’t travel well may play into a decision between Miami and Norte dame being in playoffs.