Shedeur Sanders

Some harsh reality from a former NFL scout. Ouch.

Shedeur Sanders is an NFL cornerbacks dream.

As a former NFL Scout, I went back and studied every snap Sanders took this season at Colorado on game film. He threw with little to no anticipation against man coverage at the intermediate route level (11-19 yards). He waited to throw until the receiver was making his break —or after. Most of the time it was after.

Sanders lacks faith when throwing the ball —he had to see that the receiver was coming open or see that he was open before he had the courage to throw it. This is why Sanders has the slowest time to throw in this draft class (3.00 seconds per Pro Football Focus). This is also why he was the most sacked NCAAF quarterback this season —42 sacks (ESPN).

Don’t make the mistake of blaming Colorado’s offensive line.

Sanders can’t get the ball out of his hand on time.

He lacks what it takes. He’s afraid of making mistakes. He’s timid. He wanted to make sure the receiver was actually going to be open before he threw it. Plus, if that’s not bad enough, when he was looking right at the receiver he was throwing to —he showed a tendency to pat the football before he threw it, which even further telegraphs to cornerbacks when and where he’s throwing.

I’m really surprised his dad and coach Deion Sanders didn’t correct this stuff when his son played quarterback for him at Colorado because Deion, who played cornerback in the NFL, made the Hall of Fame off quarterbacks like his son.

The NFL and the BIG 12 where Sanders played his college ball are just different. This must be understood. Not taking anything away from what Sanders was able to accomplish at the level of competition he participated in, but now we’re talking about the NFL Draft. Now the conversation is different. It worked for him at Colorado, but it isn’t going to work for him in the NFL. At Colorado, he mostly only faced corners and safeties who likely will never play in the NFL. Colorado only faced two top-25 teams (No. 17 BYU No. 18 Kansas State).

Successful quarterbacks in the NFL face a different type of cornerback—they’re a lot more savvy —they know how to read quarterbacks more —they’re faster and more athletic. They earn their stripes against quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa, who has the fastest time to throw according to NEXT GEN STATS (2.42 seconds).

NFL quarterbacks have to be able to throw with anticipation into the intermediate route level —meaning they have to be able to throw to the spot before the receiver makes his break. That’s how receivers are able beat cornerbacks in this league.

We need to stop with this nonsense first round mainstream narrative on Sanders that’s NOT being driven by his game film —and actually contemplate what works and what doesn’t work in the NFL.

Quarterbacks in the NFL who can’t confidently throw with anticipation don’t make it.

https://x.com/firstroundmock/status/1880628005418024978

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You know that a lot of these anonymous negative assessments that magically appear prior to the draft are often done/let loose with the intention of driving down the player’s draft stock.

Let’s say a certain team is picking at # 11 either they or some hack ex-coach they are slipping a few dollars to , may knock a player hoping he drops a few spots ( 9 or 8) so that they can then trade up only a few spots to get him.

I’ve been wrong before, terribly. But, I don’t think he’s an NFL starter after he fails in yr 1 and 2.
Then again, I thought Joey Harrington would pan out

Kids very good. Where he goes will have a lot to do with his success.

Guy said he was a former scout. Go and watch Mahommes at Texas Tech. Scouts did not like Marino. There were scouts who did not like aaron rodgers.

The guy who impressed me was Kyle McCord at Syracuse. The kid is said to be the stand out QB at the East-West Shrine practice. Sanders did not practice, but I’d pick McCord over Sanders after watching him take down the Hurricanes.

McCord could have a Kirk Cousins type career. Jaxson Dart is the one qb who would not shock me if he had a good pro career. Think he is a high risk / high reward type prospect.

After 30 years of being a draft junkie, I don’t pay a lot of attention to the scouting reports anymore. Not that I am any better, I just mean they’re about as useful as a monkey throwing a dart at a wall.
Ever go back into maybe a draft simulator and run through past drafts? Less than 40% start 80% of their games over the first two years, and some of that is because of the money invested in them. I don’t know shit, I admit. Though, the rules appear to be stable -

don’t draft a DE from Florida
don’t draft a RB from Penn St ( I know, Saquon, but check beyond that)
don’t draft a WR from Florida
don’t draft a WR from Ohio State, in fact, always be leery of Ohio State outside of the line
Miami Hurricanes will usually outperform their draft position
only draft DB, LB and OL from Texas
Sooner skilled positions are roleplayers but tough
LSU has gems, just don’t remember how wrong you were about Glenn Dorsey

There are exceptions, but these have been pretty good rules to follow

Don’t trust the idiots writing on sports sites as a lot of them will also make crap up and then attribute it to anonymous sources or a “particular NFL coach …etc”.

Jamarcus Russell (what a bust!), Joey Harrington, Roy Williams (he of the horse-collar tackle who they thought was better than Ed Reed),Vince Young, Robert Griffin Jr were all going to be “impact-players”.

There are no “sure-fire” draft-picks. It’s all a crap-shoot. Robert Gallery was going to be the franchise-LT . in 2004. He had a middling career instead.