Here’s an article forecasting astounding scientific advancement attributable to machines harnessing the entirety of human knowledge. It would seem this next decade could turn out to be a Renaissance period in the ascendance of humanity. Even if some of these predicted advancements fail to emerge, we’re looking at myriad exciting, radical change taking place.
Could go point for point, but to make it quick: Every quote in here is from a person financially vested in you purchasing. It’s called a closed incentive loop.
The statistics are incorrect, even the one where he’s quoting himself: “280x in 24 months… for frontier models, the price has been dropping about 10x every single year, from $20 to about $0.40 per million tokens.” It’s at $.07.
It ends with a sales pitch: $5 a day Abundance Longevity Trip with “Secure one the final 3 seats.” Fake scarcity close.
This is an advertisement, not an analysis
Agreed it’s an optimist screed. My sense deems it somewhat implausible. We saw the same overwhelming pronouncements during the dot com era, and certainly in the case of Enron. Even Musk’s latest venture has a P/E ratio that is worrisome. Something is wrong when corporate heads cannot describe clearly how specifically AI will be deployed; their responses are nebulous.I don’t invest in companies on the basis of future earnings unless their balance sheets show increasing revenue, positive earnings, and free cash flow. AI is I think overhyped.