Really? I’m sure you have a link. I’ll wait.
We have no data to back that up. There has never been a real threat to Roe V Wade before. Midterms usually go to the minority party. Just happens that way. Also, it’s more beneficial (from a strategy standpoint) if the GOP won in the midterms. Republicans are exceptionally good at fucking things up. They are not a party of governance any longer.
As for a recession - lots of talk about it. Balancing the raising of interest rates to slow the economy is a delicate thing if you’re trying to avoid a recession. Historically, we haven’t had a recession beginning under a Democratic President since Carter - 1980. Before that, you have to go back to Truman.
The claim: ‘Every GOP administration since Reagan has overseen a recession while every Democratic administration since then has overseen a strong recovery and economic boom.’
Real GDP growth, a measure of economic activity in the U.S., averaged 3.33% during the 64 years and 16 presidential terms going back to the mid-1940s, according to a 2013 research paper by professors of economics Alan Blinder and Mark Watson at Princeton University. With a Republican in the White House, though, the economy’s growth slowed to 2.54%, the economists found. With a Democrat in office, growth jumped to 4.35% on average.
A variety of other economic indicators, such as per capita GDP, stock market returns, real wages and the change in the unemployment rate, are also more robust with a Democratic president, the economists found. Unemployment fell by 0.8 percentage points with a Democratic president on average, while it rose 1.1 percentage points with a Republican, according to Blinder and Watson.
“The U.S. economy has performed better when the president of the United States is a Democrat rather than a Republican, almost regardless of how one measures performance,” according to the report titled “Presidents and the Economy: A Forensic Investigation.”
To put it bluntly - it would be only the third time in the last 120 years a recession began under a Democrat. Could it happen? For sure. Likely? Well, 120 years is a LONG time.
